Sports Betting as an Investment
Michael Gibbons' Sports is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. I handicap sports based upon my proprietary handicapping systems, situational pattern analysis, conditional probability gaming theory, and contrary opinion.
In addition to being a sports handicapper, I am also a highly respected stock, bond, currency and futures trader. I am quoted in many top financial publications including Timer Digest and Forbes. I won the highly prestigious Timer Digest Timer of the Year award in 2002/2007/2008/2010. My clients have billions of dollars in assets under management. I have outperformed several hundred of the world's greatest investment minds on a consistent basis. I bring the same kind of analysis to the world of sports investing. Many professional and amateur sports investors in Las Vegas, the nation, and the world, rely on me for my sports plays, research and information.
I have a BA in Economics from California State University Long Beach. I worked for several large corporations as cost controller and head of finance. My interest changed to markets after my corporate experience, where my unconventional methods and original thinking could be better applied. I was a pioneer in technical market analysis and was one of the first to discover stock index arbitrage in the early 1980s. I was a financial broker and owned my own brokerage firm. In addition, I was one of the first registered commodity trading advisors. I have long background in probability theory and statistics, and my stock screen/trading model is considered by many of my clients to be the best in the world. I was asked by several of my clients to apply my methods to sports betting twelve years ago. After a doing intensive research, it was clear that sports betting was highly profitable if done properly. Sports betting should be viewed as a viable investment class as evidenced by the fact that it is a way to diversify holdings and performance is not correlated to other common investments.
Because of my success both in trading financial markets and handicapping sports, I have been interviewed by Forbes reporter John Dobosz seven times over the past five years, and by Timer Digest over three hundred times. My interviews appear on the internet as well as in print editions. How many sports handicappers do you know that have been quoted numerous times by influential financial publications? I can tell you the answer to that question-no one else on the planet.
I do not gamble-I invest (and there is a huge difference). Investors have a statistical advantage or edge that will always payoff over the long run. Gamblers create risk, because in no way can they obtain a long term edge-that is, probability is always working against them. As an example, craps, roulette, and video poker players are losers because the house has an irrefutable edge in all of these games. Most sports bettors play as if they were gamblers-and they lose many thousands of dollars each year because they simply do not have the knowledge necessary to win. To keep and maintain an edge, I use my proprietary selection systems, contrary opinion, conditional probability, and statistical pattern recognition to forecast game results.
(all records are net which includes juice)
+3,395.06 units last 15 years
We average 226.3 units per year in profit
Our subscribers are many professional sports bettors and sports books
100% ethical handicapping- all records and results are disclosed monthly
Check out our track record- it speaks for itself
2012 Results:
+174.7 units
**we are at all-time net unit highs**
(Results updated monthly-next update 4/30/2012)
Subscribers receive my plays by email and can have plays sent to a maximum of two (2) email addresses. We accept credit cards, bank transfers, debit cards and more. If you want to mail us a check, click on the contact us button below and tell us you want to subscribe. We will then provide you with mailing instructions, etc.
As a Gibbons' Sports subscriber, you receive my plays in the following sports:
Major League Baseball
College, NBA and WNBA Basketball
College and NFL Football
NHL
My subscribers (via email) are sent my plays generally eight hours or more before the start of the first game. Our objective is to win a lot of units- not a high winning percentage which is what amateurs seek and seemingly never find.
There is no such thing as a "lock" or a guaranteed play. Any team can lose at any time- period. Any handicapper that tells you differently is a scam artist. I don't have "locks" or Games of the Week, Month, or Year.
Money Management
We average about four (4) plays per day and all plays are one to five (1-5) units each. As a contrarian in investments and sports betting, it is my educated conclusion based on many years of observation- that the majority of my own subscribers do things which cause them to lose. They are undisciplined and operate mostly on pure emotion. This means that they consistently subscribe after a huge run in units and will not subscribe or renew after a lengthy losing streak.
This is the exact opposite of what they should do if you want to maximize your profits betting sports. Therefore, I increase bet sizes substantially when we get few new subscribers, and I reduce bet sizes substantially when we get a lot of new subscribers and renewals.
If you look at the graph above, you will see that it represents the running total of net units won. Needless to say, most losing streaks of significance were accompanied by few new subscribers and/or renewals and most winning streaks were accompanied by many new subscribers and/or renewals.
So you know by deduction that when I employ a lot of units- we are going to win because past experience is a 100% accurate indicator of the future. We will continue to win regardless of where we are on the graph until such time as we get a lot of new subscribers. This means it is not how many units we have won or how "hot" we are that matters, but rather the number of new subscribers over a given period of time. The number of new subscribers accurately "predicts" whether we will continue to win or start to lose. Think about it. We ultimately win or lose depending upon the number of subscriptions. This means although I am a world-class handicapper, my client's subscription patterns are the determining factor in winning or losing.
We have three modes of money management and they are: aggressive, neutral, and conservative. Currently as of April 2012, we are in a
neutral mode. This means we are betting an average number of units because currently we are experiencing a normal number of renewals/subscriptions. We will stay in a neutral mode until this changes.You decide what percentage of your bankroll to invest each day and bet accordingly. There are several solid money management methods, so one size does not fit all and this means you must choose which one fits your risk tolerance and bankroll. You will need to do some division to properly allocate on a percentage basis the number of units to be assigned per sport and per game over the day's plays.
I am extremely selective as to what plays I personally bet on and provide to my subscribers. The major objective here at Gibbons' Sports is to keep you in the game. If we can stay in the game we will win over the long term- it's that simple.
Remember, we bet a lot more units when no one wants my plays, and we bet far fewer units when everyone wants my plays. It is the way to incredible profits in sports betting. It also "predicts" with almost 100% accuracy whether we will continue to win or start a losing streak. It is contrary opinion at work.
One year subscription
$12,500.00
**Subscriptions are closed-I am no longer accepting new clients**
"Winning isn't everything. It's the only thing."
-"Red" Sanders-
